Fact Check: Can We Track Small Boat Arrivals in Local UK Wards?

This fact check clarifies that there is no specific data on small boat arrivals by constituency, explaining why broad estimates about asylum seekers in Gorton and Denton are based on flawed assumptions.

It is not possible to confirm this assertion, which exists as reality. It’s a broad price quote based upon the variety of asylum hunters getting lodging assistance in each local authority, and assumes these people are spread equally across electoral wards. We don’t understand the amount of asylum hunters, or people who showed up via small boat crossing, are actually staying in the constituency.

Presumptions in Data Estimation

To start with, the estimation presumes that asylum seekers are expanded evenly throughout all wards in each neighborhood authority– we do not know if this is in fact the instance, and this figure is for that reason illustratory.

It has applied these portions to the overall variety of asylum seekers in each local authority– so it thinks that 15.7% of the 515 asylum seekers in Tameside Council, and 12.5% of the 2,108 asylum applicants in Manchester Common council, are being housed in Gorton and Denton.

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While a lot of small watercraft arrivals apply for asylum, many asylum hunters didn’t get here through this route. Government figures suggest that small boat arrivals accounted for just around two-fifths of all asylum applications in the year to September 2025.

Understanding Migration Routes

We also do not know how many people that arrived by tiny watercraft going across yet are not receiving asylum support from the federal government (as an example, those that have actually ultimately had their asylum application authorized), are staying in an offered local area.

We do not understand just how numerous of the asylum seekers being housed in the regional authorities covering the Gorton and Denton constituency got here by means of little boat crossing. Neither do we have specific figures on how many asylum candidates are really being housed in the constituency.

It is misleading to offer this as fact– there’s in fact no data showing the exact number of tiny watercraft arrivals being housed in each legislative constituency. The claim shows up to describe individuals that have arrived in the UK through little watercraft crossing, and is based on a broad quote extrapolated from council-level data revealing the total variety of asylum hunters receiving support from the federal government last September.

The Lack of Exact Constituency Data

It is not possible to corroborate this assertion, which is presented as truth. It’s a broad estimate based on the number of asylum hunters getting lodging assistance in each regional authority, and thinks these individuals are spread equally throughout electoral wards. We don’t know just how many asylum seekers, or individuals who arrived using small watercraft crossing, are actually living in the constituency.

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It’s likewise worth being clear that these figures refer particularly to individuals with open asylum cases that are obtaining support from the government. We don’t know how many asylum candidates getting assistance arrived via small watercraft crossing– some might have shown up using other irregular courses (for instance, in the back of a lorry) while others might have arrived on a visa and gone on to assert asylum.

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Individuals with Open Asylum Cases